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Microlesson · 5-min read

NPV, Profitability Index (PI), and IRR — Merits & Demerits

# Evaluation Methods: NPV, Profitability Index & IRR

## Net Present Value (NPV)

Definition: Sum of present values of all future cash inflows minus the initial investment, discounted at the cost of capital.

Decision Rule: NPV > 0 → Accept | NPV < 0 → Reject

### Advantages

AdvantageExplanation
Considers Time Value of MoneyAll cash flows discounted to present value
Entire cash flow stream consideredNo cash flow is ignored (unlike Payback)
Directly measures wealth additionPositive NPV = direct addition to shareholder wealth
Expressed in current rupeesFacilitates meaningful comparison across projects
Projects independently comparableEach project's NPV stands on its own merit

### Limitations

LimitationExplanation
Difficult calculationsRequires accurate cash flow forecasts and appropriate discount rate
Accuracy-sensitiveErrors in either cash flows or discount rate compound significantly
Ignores project sizeDoes not adjust for differences in initial investment scale

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## Profitability Index (PI)

Formula: PI = PV of Cash Inflows ÷ Initial Investment

Decision Rule: PI > 1 → Accept | PI < 1 → Reject | PI = 1 → Break-even (NPV = 0)

### Advantages

  • Considers Time Value of Money
  • Relative measure — useful for ranking projects of different sizes

### Limitations

  • Fails under capital rationing when projects are indivisible
  • A high-NPV large project may crowd out multiple small projects with a combined higher NPV
  • A lower-PI project may generate early cash flows enabling another profitable project later, making total NPV higher

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## Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

Definition: The discount rate at which a project's NPV equals zero — the project's own rate of return.

Decision Rule: IRR > Cost of Capital → Accept | IRR < Cost of Capital → Reject

### Advantages

AdvantageExplanation
Considers Time Value of MoneyUses discounted cash flows
All cash flows consideredFull project life is evaluated
Intuitive comparisonDirectly compare IRR to cost of capital (hurdle rate)
Wealth maximisationProjects where IRR > cost of capital add shareholder value

### Limitations

LimitationExplanation
Tedious calculationRequires trial-and-error or interpolation
Multiple IRRs possibleNon-conventional cash flow patterns (alternating signs) can yield multiple solutions
Unrealistic reinvestment assumptionAssumes interim cash flows reinvested at IRR — often not achievable
Misleading for mutually exclusive projectsIRR ranking can contradict NPV ranking; NPV is more reliable in such cases

> Hierarchy for exam: For mutually exclusive projects, always prefer NPV over IRR. For capital rationing with divisible projects, use PI.

Worked example

### Example 1

NPV vs PI under capital rationing (₹5,00,000 budget): Project A costs ₹5,00,000; NPV = ₹2,00,000; PI = 1.40. Project B costs ₹1,00,000; NPV = ₹50,000; PI = 1.50. Under NPV, choose A (higher absolute wealth). Under PI, take 5 units of B (total NPV = ₹2,50,000 > A's ₹2,00,000). Conclusion: when capital is scarce and projects are divisible, PI-based selection generates more total wealth.

### Example 2

IRR Calculation via interpolation: Project costs ₹1,00,000; cash inflows Year 1 = ₹60,000, Year 2 = ₹55,000. At 10% → NPV = +₹4,132. At 15% → NPV = −₹5,106. IRR ≈ 10% + [4,132 ÷ (4,132 + 5,106)] × 5% ≈ 12.24%. If cost of capital = 10%, accept. This trial-and-error process illustrates IRR's 'tedious calculation' limitation.

⚠️ Common exam mistakes

  • Thinking NPV ignores time value of money — NPV specifically addresses TVM through discounting; only Payback and ARR ignore it.
  • Preferring IRR over NPV for mutually exclusive projects — IRR can mislead when projects differ in scale or cash flow timing; NPV is always the more reliable criterion.
  • Confusing IRR with WACC — IRR is the project's own rate of return; WACC (cost of capital) is the external hurdle rate used to evaluate IRR.
  • Forgetting that PI = 1 means NPV = 0 — a PI of exactly 1 indicates the project breaks even (neither adds nor destroys value).
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