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Microlesson · 5-min read

Conflict between NPV and IRR (Reinvestment Assumption & Multiple IRR)

## Conflict Between NPV and IRR

NPV and IRR can rank projects differently. The root cause is their different reinvestment assumptions about interim cash flows.

### The Reinvestment Assumption

TechniqueAssumes interim cash flows are reinvested at...
NPVthe discount rate (cost of capital)
IRRthe project's own IRR
  • The NPV assumption is logical: NPV implies you accept any project earning more than the discount rate, so reinvesting freed-up cash at that rate is realistic.
  • The IRR assumption is often unrealistic — reinvesting at a high project IRR may not be achievable.
  • Consequence: projects with heavy cash inflows in early years are favoured by IRR (because those early flows compound at the high IRR), even when a project with later cash flows creates more wealth.

### Three Scenarios Causing Conflict

1. Scale / Size Disparity — IRR is a relative measure (a %), NPV is an absolute measure (₹). When projects differ greatly in size, rankings can contradict.

2. Time Disparity in Cash Flows — Total cash flows may be similar, but if one project front-loads inflows and another back-loads them, the two methods can rank them differently.

3. Disparity in Life (Unequal Lives) — Comparing mutually exclusive projects of different durations can produce conflicting rankings.

### Multiple IRR Problem

When a project's cash flows change sign more than once (e.g., outflow → inflows → a later major outflow), the IRR equation can have more than one solution — multiple IRRs.

  • If the cost of capital lies below both IRRs, a decision can still be made.
  • Otherwise the IRR rule becomes misleading: the project should be accepted only when the cost of capital lies between IRR₁ and IRR₂.

### The Fix

Both the reinvestment problem and the multiple-IRR problem are overcome by the Modified Internal Rate of Return (MIRR), which explicitly reinvests interim flows at the cost of capital.

> Key takeaway: When NPV and IRR conflict for mutually exclusive projects, follow NPV — it directly measures the addition to shareholders' wealth.

Worked example

### Example 1

Example 9 — Higher IRR project is NOT the better project

YearProject A (₹)Project B (₹)
0(9,00,000)(8,00,000)
17,00,00062,500
26,00,0006,00,000
34,00,0006,00,000
450,0006,00,000

Step 1 — Compute IRR of each project:

  • Project A: NPV ≈ 0 at r = 46%, so IRR(A) = 46%.
  • Project B: NPV ≈ 0 at r = 35%, so IRR(B) = 35%.

By IRR alone, Project A (higher IRR + larger investment) looks superior.

Step 2 — Compute NPV at the relevant discount rate of 5%:

YearDF @5%A: PV (₹)B: PV (₹)
01.0000(9,00,000)(8,00,000)
10.95246,66,68059,525
20.90705,44,2005,44,200
30.86383,45,5205,18,280
40.822741,1354,93,620
NPV6,97,5358,15,625

Conclusion: At 5% cost of capital, Project B has the higher NPV (₹8,15,625 vs ₹6,97,535) and should be selected — even though Project A has the higher IRR (46%) and the larger investment.

Why: Project A's inflows are concentrated in early years, which the IRR method over-rewards via its high reinvestment assumption. Project B's later, larger inflows generate more real wealth at the true 5% reinvestment rate.

⚠️ Common exam mistakes

  • Assuming the project with the higher IRR is always the better choice — for mutually exclusive projects, follow NPV when the two methods conflict.
  • Forgetting that IRR assumes reinvestment at the IRR itself, not at the cost of capital — this biases IRR toward early-cash-flow projects.
  • Applying the simple IRR decision rule when cash flows change sign more than once, where multiple IRRs exist and the rule can be misleading.
  • Confusing the source of conflict — it stems from scale disparity, timing disparity, or unequal lives, not from arithmetic error.
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